Marine insurance & war risk research
Research and articles by Jonas Osman Abdelghafour, Founder & CEO of Quantica Marine — on war-risk pricing, cargo exposure, P&I liability, reinsurance accumulation, ORSA and broker explainability.

Ten articles on how marine war risk reaches the insurance decision.
Current-event analysis for insurers, reinsurers, brokers, actuaries and chief risk officers.
The Week War Risk Changed Again: What the Latest Ship Attacks Mean for Marine Insurers
Red Sea and Bab el-Mandeb ship attacks are reshaping marine war risk insurance — what changing threat levels mean for underwriting and pricing.
marine war risk insurance · Red Sea ship attacks · Bab el-Mandeb insurance
From Vessel to Voyage: Why War Hull Pricing Needs a Dynamic Risk View
Why marine hull war risk pricing must move from a static vessel view to a dynamic voyage risk assessment as conflict conditions change.
war hull pricing · marine hull war risk · voyage risk assessment
War Risk Is Not Just a Hull Problem: What Escalating Conflict Means for Cargo Insurers
War risk is not only a hull problem. How escalating maritime conflict affects marine cargo insurers, delay exposure and Red Sea cargo accumulation.
cargo war risk insurance · marine cargo geopolitical risk · Red Sea cargo insurance
When a War-Risk Event Becomes a Liability Event: Lessons for P&I and Marine Insurers
How a marine war-risk casualty escalates into crew, salvage, wreck removal and pollution liability — lessons for P&I clubs and marine insurers.
P&I war risk · marine liability geopolitical risk · oil spill war risk insurance
One Attack, Hundreds of Policies: The Reinsurance Accumulation Problem in Maritime Conflict
One attack, hundreds of policies. How chokepoint conflict creates correlated marine reinsurance accumulation and what cedants should measure.
marine reinsurance war risk · war risk accumulation · marine portfolio aggregation
From Geopolitical Event to Technical Price: The New Challenge for Marine Pricing Actuaries
Translating a geopolitical event into a technical price: expected loss, volatility loading, capital cost and uncertainty for marine pricing actuaries.
marine war risk pricing actuary · technical pricing marine insurance · geopolitical risk pricing
Your Vessels May Be Diversified. Your War Risk May Not Be.
Your vessels may be diversified while your war risk is not. How to find geopolitical concentration hiding inside a marine insurance portfolio.
marine accumulation risk · marine portfolio risk · geopolitical concentration insurance
From Red Sea Attack to ORSA: How Marine Geopolitical Risk Reaches the Insurer's Balance Sheet
How marine geopolitical risk travels from a Red Sea attack to the insurer's ORSA, stress testing, capital and balance sheet.
marine ORSA geopolitical risk · insurance capital war risk · marine stress testing
Can Brokers Explain Why Today's War-Risk Price Changed?
Explainable war-risk additional premium: how marine brokers can evidence why today's price changed and support better placement conversations.
marine insurance broker war risk · war risk additional premium · explainable marine pricing
Marine War Risk Has Changed. The Insurance Decision Process Must Change With It.
Marine war risk is now dynamic. Why underwriting, pricing, reinsurance and capital teams need one consistent marine war-risk decision process.
marine war risk pricing engine · Quantica Marine · marine insurance analytics